Will there be a recession by the end of 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.

Resolution criteria

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in 2023 or 2024, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution sources

https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.