Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

The question will resolve as Yes if at any time in 2024, the International Atomic Energy Agency reports, in connection with any nuclear power plant within the borders of Ukraine – as they stood in December 2021 – an accident of level 5, 6 or 7 of the International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.