Will Joe Biden win the first debate against Donald Trump? (According to manifold)
41
1kṀ5166
resolved Jun 28
Resolved
NO

I'll compare the probability in this market right before and right after the debate. If it increases I'll resolve yes.

Technicalities:

  • If it stays at the same number, I'll use the manifold API to get the exact numbers

  • If it still stays the same I'll resolve NO

  • If there is no debate I'll resolve NA

  • If it doesn't end up being a debate between Biden and Trump, the market will be about whoever the nominees are

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