I'll compare the probability in this market right before and right after the debate. If it increases I'll resolve yes.

Technicalities:

• If it stays at the same number, I'll use the manifold API to get the exact numbers

• If it still stays the same I'll resolve NO

• If there is no debate I'll resolve NA

• If it doesn't end up being a debate between Biden and Trump, the market will be about whoever the nominees are