Will Yahya Sinwar be alive when the Israel / Hamas war next stops fighting?
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2
39
Nov 23
60%
chance

At the next cessation of violation in Gaza, be it from a ceasefire or a formal end of the war, will Yahya Sinwar be alive?

Resolves YES immediately if the war ends, or a ceasefire agreement is signed between both Israeli and Hamas. Resolves NO 48 hours after Sinwar’s reported passing (to lessen hoax risks). Market will extend as needed.

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