At the next cessation of violation in Gaza, be it from a ceasefire or a formal end of the war, will Yahya Sinwar be alive?
Resolves YES immediately if the war ends, or a ceasefire agreement is signed between both Israeli and Hamas. Resolves NO 48 hours after Sinwar’s reported passing (to lessen hoax risks). Market will extend as needed.
1,000
3.00@mattyb there are widely available pictures of him with a hole in his head and genetic testing has been done on the body to confirm it's him.
@Shai ok, i can wriggle my way out of this one.
Resolves NO 48 hours after Sinwar’s reported passing (to lessen hoax risks)
I clearly stated that the delay was to lessen a hoax risk. Joe Biden himself has claimed that the DNA has matched, I’ll take that as sufficient to remove the hoax risk. I don’t know if there is a more official declaration of death that than.
