What will be true about Christopher Nolan’s next film?

Basic

Ṁ1539

2026

92%

Nolan also credited as a writer and producer

91%

Summer release date

90%

Emma Thomas producing

87%

Shot on IMAX 70mm film

86%

Male main character

76%

Rotten Tomatoes critic score >80% two weeks after release

68%

Nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars

62%

Longer than 2hrs 30mins runtime

61%

2026 release date

59%

Passes the bechdel test

52%

Involves the manipulation of the time or of the perception of time (e.g., time moving slower in dreams, non-chronological scenes in Memento to emulate amnesia, the whole plots of Interstellar and Tenet)

51%

Protagonist uses a gun

50%

Based on a historical figure or event

50%

Rotten tomatoes audience score greater than critics score two weeks after release

46%

Cillian Murphy will be in the cast

41%

Makes $1B at the global box office on initial release

38%

True story

34%

Rotten Tomatoes critic score >90% two weeks after release

34%

Scored by Hans Zimmer

22%

2025 release date

This will Resolve YES for all answers which are true about the next film that Christopher Nolan directs.

As cast members can be cut from the final film at the latest hour, and release dates can move, no answers will Resolve until the film has opened in wide release in the US market.

Feel free to add answers, but if they aren’t about the film, I will resolve them as N/A. Please note, if the answer is hyper specific (i.e. X actor is on screen for an even number of seconds), we may need to wait for the movie to come out on streaming before resolving those answers. Bet smartly.

Market will extend as needed.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ5 Cillian Murphy will ... NO

https://deadline.com/2024/10/christopher-nolan-new-movie-matt-damon-release-date-1236099940/

Nolan also credited as a writer and producer

bought Ṁ150 Nolan also credited ... YES

Could be missing something but 62% for this seems low given IIRC he has writing & producer credits on every one of his films after Batman Begins.

bought Ṁ80 2025 release date NO

Nolan also credited as a writer and producer

bought Ṁ5 Nolan also credited ... YES

https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1bcui21/according_to_puck_christopher_nolan_has_started/

(far from certain, but evidence he's back at his writing table)

Cool market idea!

@Shrewdan this exact time frame exists already

@mattyb ya sorry. I swear I read them all. Is it possible we made it at the same time 😄. Do I just eat the mana I used to create it?

@Shrewdan you should’ve gotten it back. you can make a 2hr 15 or 2hr 45 min one?

@mattyb I could be wrong, but I think there's a bug where N/Aing an option added to MC doesn't return the mana to the person who added it. which sucks, but there's no way around it—when you add to a MC it's a risk you always run (unless i'm getting the bug wrong)

@Ziddletwix wtf. that’s so dumb.

@Shrewdan ill send you 25M. spend it better this time :)

@mattyb

I'm not gonna say no but it's not your fault.

@Ziddletwix you're right. N/A give bets back but the category you created you screwed. Not sure it's a big though. Could be just so you have to do due diligence before you create one

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