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MANIFOLD
Chris Nolan's next movie prop bets
2
Ṁ2kṀ730
2028
72%
Shot entirely on IMAX cameras
72%
Rotten Tomatoes critic score >90% two weeks after release
69%
Scored by Ludwig Goransson
69%
July release date (for the US)
63%
Nominated for Best Picture (Oscars)
59%
Reported budget (on Wikipedia) >$200 million
59%
Rated R
55%
Longer than 2h50m runtime
55%
Matt Damon is in the cast
50%
Worldwide gross >$1 billion
50%
Released in 2029
50%
Original story
45%
Cillian Murphy is in the cast
45%
Passes the Bechdel Test
37%
Tom Holland is in the cast
31%
Worldwide gross >$1.5 billion
31%
A gun is shown on screen
31%
A smartphone is shown on screen
20%
Wins Best Picture (Oscars)
17%
Scored by Hans Zimmer

These prop bets refer to the next film directed by Christopher Nolan that receives a wide (>1,000 screens) theatrical release.

You can add your own answers, but I reserved the right to N/A any that I feel are trivial, uninteresting, or simply difficult for me to resolve.

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@Ziddletwix For this option, I will aim to follow however the Oscars would categorize it. (This may disagree with the WGA, and it may clash with typical intuition—it's very hard to define what's "original"! But I need some sort of standard to cite)