
What number Neuralink patient would you be?
21
Never closes
First 1,000
First 10,000
First 100k
First 100M
First 1B
Wouldn’t get one even with >1B people having one
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
When will be the first year that 10,000 people receive Neuralink brain implants?
Will there be more than 200 people with a neuralink by August 2027?
44% chance
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
25% chance
What Percent of The BCI Market Will Neuralink have in 2040?
Neuralink clinical trials: will someone be seriously injured or killed?
13% chance
Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?
86% chance
100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027
47% chance
When will Neuralink implant the first chip to cure blindness in a person?
Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
59% chance
Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?
61% chance
Sort by:
The product is appealing, but Musk's track record is not, and highly influences my answer.
@shankypanky whatever they’re offering. I’m projecting this out, so once it’s passed each tier, the product has evolved a bit.
People are also trading
Related questions
When will be the first year that 10,000 people receive Neuralink brain implants?
Will there be more than 200 people with a neuralink by August 2027?
44% chance
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
25% chance
What Percent of The BCI Market Will Neuralink have in 2040?
Neuralink clinical trials: will someone be seriously injured or killed?
13% chance
Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?
86% chance
100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027
47% chance
When will Neuralink implant the first chip to cure blindness in a person?
Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
59% chance
Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?
61% chance