Will there be internment camps in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
Market will Resolve YES if there is capacity for the detention of 30,000 people in 3 or fewer actively used concentration camps / detention centers (so a 25k person facility + a 5k person one would qualify, as would 3x 10k people facilities).
Resolves NO when Trump is no longer president (following his 2025 inauguration), or N/A if he doesn’t have a second term.
For reference:
During the US’s WWII Japanese internment, 120,000 people were interned in 10 camps.
The current three largest active detention centers in the US have a capacity of ~6,600, so this would be a nearly 5x growth in capacity for the mass detention of people.
1,00030,000 exactly at Guantanamo. This'll be enough for a YES when it happens, right?
hmm on the fence about sweepifying this as it seems likely it will be hard to know an exact figure and there could be disagreement about what counts as an internment camp.
(If people think it will be pretty clear cut, I don't know much about interment camps and data surrounding it, then I will sweepify, just let me know)
Only if it’s Federal Funded but Private industry built & run.
https://fortune.com/2024/11/07/president-donald-trump-election-immigration-border-detention-ice-geo-group-corecivic/
Investors are betting on construction of more detention centers.
