Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
16
closes 2030
46%
chance

Will there be a general consensus among economists that markets significantly overvalued AI companies at any point during this decade?

This market will close early and resolve as YES if there is clear evidence of a bubble before the resolution date. It will resolve as NO if there is still no clear evidence of an AI valuation bubble by the resolution date.

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Gigacasting avatar
Gigacasting

Arguably platforms are far from overvalued, as are de novo disruptors, but the YC class was one of the most laughable in memory.

“Expedia. But with AI” — good luck with that.

Minor scandal yc funnels half its money to DEI and another half of the remainder to companies with no network or platform effects.

When 100% of their wins (and all tech wins) come from the platforms

JustNo avatar
JustNo

I don't think it will be a bubble per say - but I think there will be lots of money spent on dumb things. I just think the value will overshadow the bubble-type-hype.

marnet avatar
marnet (edited)

@JustNo I mostly agree. I think the value will overshadow the hype in the long run.

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