When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?
15
66
αΉ2.2kαΉ440
Oct 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.8%
Before 1 March 2024
1.7%
Between 1 March 2024 and 15 June 2024
7%
Between 16 June 2024 and 30 September 2024
91%
Not before 1 October 2024
From GJOpen and resolves the same.
Russia's war in Ukraine continues, though Russia floated the idea of talks on the "post-conflict settlement" of the war in October 2023 (Economist, Newsweek, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty). A signed or announced agreement must be acknowledged by both Russia and Ukraine to count. The Ukrainian government as recognized by the European Union must be party to the agreement to count. An armistice or a ceasefire of indefinite duration would count and must include the whole of Ukraine. Time-limited agreements (e.g., 72-hour ceasefire) would not count. The date an agreement would take effect is immaterial.
Get αΉ600 play money
Related questions
When will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
27% chance
when will the Ukraine war stop?
2027
Will the Israel/Hamas conflict conclusively end in 2024 ?
30% chance
When will war on Ukraine πΊπ¦ will end?
Which season will the Ukraine war end?
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
57% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2025?
28% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
15% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war conclude in a negotiated settlement?
77% chance