Government coalition following the 2024 Saxony state election?
Basic
18
Ṁ3528
Dec 23
98.1%
CDU+SPD

Resolves to the coalition of the next government following the 2024 Saxony state election on September 1.

Close date might be adapted.

The order and vote numbers are not relevant for this question. For example, AfD+CDU is the same as CDU+AfD.

Related: /marktwse/which-party-will-be-in-the-governme-679c889841e7

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The market will resolve based on the coalition that forms the government, not just parties that sign a coalition agreement. The government must be successfully elected by parliament.

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bought Ṁ5 NO

CDU+SPD have signed a coalition contract but it is uncertainty if they get elected by the parliament because they are a minority.

sold Ṁ4 YES

How big is the risk that the SPD will not even be available for a coalition?

The current government is CDU + SPD + Greens, so it would not be a continuation if I interpret it correctly.

@HannesLynchburg Oops. You are right. 😊 Fixed it. Thanks for the hint.

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