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MANIFOLD
If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
3
Ṁ1kṀ323
2027
45%
chance

Resolves YES if the AfD wins more than half of all seats in the Landtag in a snap election held before Jan 1, 2028.

Resolves NO if a snap election is held in that window and the AfD wins half or fewer of the seats.

Resolves N/A if no snap election is held by then.

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