Will Bitterfeld-Wolfen elect an AfD mayor?
10
210Ṁ4582
resolved Oct 8
Resolved
NO
Looking at the runners-up, who got about ~38% of the votes, my feeling would be most of the Krillwitz votes will go to Schenk, and most of the Kuhnt votes to Dornak. That would give Schenk a small edge. https://andrekrillwitz.de/ ("Ausbau des ÖPNV auch mit den angrenzenden Gemeinden") https://katrinkuhnt.de/ ("Keine Denkverbote") [link preview]
https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/innenpolitik/bitterfeld-oberbuergermeisterwahl-100.html [link preview]
https://www.facebook.com/StadtBitterfeldWolfen/posts/pfbid0322CruEkDGh6A1Xuws39XJBQpxUbHS4e7KQ3Rt1zwKAeS7L7LEbwrWZGjUcahDR4hl The votes of all the polling stations, as well as the submitted ballot papers, are counted. The preliminary election result of the mayor's general election on the 8th. October 2023 the city of Bitterfeld-Wolfen reads as follows (alphabetically): Dornack (AfD): 46,18 % Schenk (CDU): 53,82 % Voter turnout was 48.75%. The public session to determine the election result of the mayor's primary election will be held by the Election Commission on Tuesday, the 10. October 2023, 5:00 p.m. The meeting will take place in the conference room of the OT town hall Wolfen, 2. OG, Rathausplatz 1, held in 06766 Bitterfeld-Wolfen. https://www.bitterfeld-wolfen.de/de/wisl_s-cms/_redaktionell/11/News/3892/Vorlaeufiges_Wahlergebnis_der_OB_Stichwahl_2023_.html Same information from the Bitterfeld-Wolfen's city website.

The extreme-right party AfD recently won municipial elections in Sonneberg and Raguhn-Jeßnitz, but lost the runoff election in Nordhausen although they were ahead in the polls. Now Bitterfeld-Wolfen is the next city of interest.

In the election for the new mayor of Bitterfeld-Wolfen, AfD candidate Henning Dornack received the most votes in the first round of voting. As the city administration announced on Sunday evening, Dornack received 33.76 percent of the votes. Incumbent Armin Schenk (CDU) got 29.14 percent, according to the statement. Both candidates will have to face a runoff election on Oct. 8. Voter turnout was 49.74 percent. Dornack could become the first AfD politician to be elected lord mayor. (dpa, translated with Deepl)

Resolves YES if Dornak wins the runoff election.

Resolves NO if anybody else (e.g. Schenk) wins the runoff election.

Close date might be adapted if the election gets shifted or something.

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Ah geez I miscalculated the size of my limit order....

https://www.facebook.com/StadtBitterfeldWolfen/posts/pfbid0322CruEkDGh6A1Xuws39XJBQpxUbHS4e7KQ3Rt1zwKAeS7L7LEbwrWZGjUcahDR4hl

The votes of all the polling stations, as well as the submitted ballot papers, are counted. The preliminary election result of the mayor's general election on the 8th. October 2023 the city of Bitterfeld-Wolfen reads as follows (alphabetically):

Dornack (AfD): 46,18 %

Schenk (CDU): 53,82 %

Voter turnout was 48.75%.

The public session to determine the election result of the mayor's primary election will be held by the Election Commission on Tuesday, the 10. October 2023, 5:00 p.m. The meeting will take place in the conference room of the OT town hall Wolfen, 2. OG, Rathausplatz 1, held in 06766 Bitterfeld-Wolfen.

https://www.bitterfeld-wolfen.de/de/wisl_s-cms/_redaktionell/11/News/3892/Vorlaeufiges_Wahlergebnis_der_OB_Stichwahl_2023_.html

Same information from the Bitterfeld-Wolfen's city website.

predictedYES

@SarkanyVar Looks good enough for me to resolve. Is there any reason to wait for the Tuesday meeting?

Deepl translation from the article:

With such a mood, one might expect great support from within his own party. But Schenk is almost alone here. The CDU in the city council is divided, the city association hopelessly at odds. Shortly before the first ballot, two local mayors left the party.

That made me adjust upwards.

Looking at the runners-up, who got about ~38% of the votes, my feeling would be most of the Krillwitz votes will go to Schenk, and most of the Kuhnt votes to Dornak. That would give Schenk a small edge.

https://andrekrillwitz.de/ ("Ausbau des ÖPNV auch mit den angrenzenden Gemeinden")

https://katrinkuhnt.de/ ("Keine Denkverbote")

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