Will Bonfire be more popular than Twitter for "important conversation", by July 1st 2026 (mid-year)
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2026
6%
chance

https://bonfirenetworks.org/

I define "important conversation" as informative or consequential conversation between influential people, politicians, philosophers and academics. (The kind that's rare on twitter due to the char limit, might become a lot more common in a place without one, or, who knows, substantial conversations between influential people might end up remaining rare in public because incentives.)

Although I'm not asking about general popular adoption (as I don't care about that) note that this is likely to be a precursor to broad adoption. People will go where the news is happening.

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this is what I see when I visit your link:

predicts YES

@ian Odd. This is what I see

predicts NO

@makoyass Oh it looks like it works on desktop, just not iphone safari.