Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada?
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This question resolves YES if Trump imposes any tariffs on Canada during his second term that were not already in place.

This question will only resolve once tariffs are actually in effect, or when Trump's second term ends.

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sold Ṁ967 YES

"Trump muses about slapping 25% tariffs on Canada Feb. 1" - CBC

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trump-tariffs-canada-first-day-1.7435957

I would argue this market should be lower than it used it be (68%) with this news. Before, Trump was insistent about Canadian tariffs, constantly making threats. Now we have survived day 1, and he is only "musing".

The Canadian stock market is at a 30 day high, this also suggests lowered risk of tariffs to me

How in the hell is the Canadian stock market still climbing?

@Furcas It's priced in.

@AndrewHebb notsureifserious.gif

I'm not sure what the exchange rate with the general tariffs question is, given its more complex resolution criteria. Any ideas?

Donald Trump promises 25 per cent tariff on products from Canada, Mexico

https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/trump-tariff-25-1.7393160

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