Which issues will Donald Trump propose or imply can be solved with tariffs?
Which issues will Donald Trump propose or imply can be solved with tariffs?
8
150Ṁ2512029
93%
Unemployment
90%
High taxes
90%
Budget deficit
82%
US leadership in AI
80%
Livings costs
78%
Crime
67%
Inflation
31%
Housing costs
28%
Healthcare
25%
Gaza conflict
24%
Ukraine conflict
Resolved
YESImmigration
Inspired by the fact that he threatened tariffs on Russia if Putin doesn't come to the negotiating table.
A weak (but clear) link is sufficient to resolve an option. He must mention both and state, suggest or imply that tariffs will solve or help to solve the problem or aspect of the problem.
The remaining options resolve NO when Trump's time as president ends.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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