This market tracks whether the US will announce another delay in implementing 25% tariffs on most Canadian imports before March 4, 2025.

Resolution Criteria:

• Resolves YES if the US government officially announces a delay or suspension of planned tariffs on Canada before March 4, 2025

• Resolves NO if no delay is announced and tariffs take effect

Notes:

• Cancellation counts as a delay

• If tariffs are reduced to a small subset of affected goods, or slashed well below 25%, then this counts as cancellation. I will use my judgement to determine if half or more of the originally planned tariffs apply, based on a combination of rates and categories of items. This will be subjective, so I won't bet on this market.