MANIFOLD
Will Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%?
39%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if any tariff rate on any G7 country (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom) exceeds 50% at any point before the market closes (during Trump's term). Resolution will be verified through official announcements from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (https://ustr.gov/trade-topics/presidential-tariff-actions) or the Federal Register. The market resolves NO if no G7 country faces tariffs exceeding 50% by the market deadline.

Market context
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