@PeterNjeim has a market on the Canadian election:
Peter has a very large stake in this market, in opposition to what current poll aggregators say. This stake is partially financed by loans. Will this market resolve correctly?
The following cases would be considered incorrect resolution and cause this market to resolve NO:
Peter resolving the market before the PM is officially declared by the gov
Peter resolving the market in opposition to who the PM actually is
Peter waiting over 48 hours to resolve the market after the PM is officially declared
Peter being unresponsive
Mods being forced to resolve the market due to unresponsiveness or issues
All other cases should resolve YES.
I may trade in this market.
Update 2025-04-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on official declaration (for the 48-hour rule):
Validated results: when Elections Canada publishes final, validated election results
Governor General: when the Governor General formally acknowledges or swears in the new Prime Minister
This bullet is guidance only, not a strictly enforced deadline
1,000People are also trading
Regarding this criteria: "Peter waiting over 48 hours to resolve the market after the PM is officially declared"
What constitutes an official declaration? Everyone knows who the PM is going to be already. Is it 48 hours from the CBC call? 48 hours from the time when some bureaucrat "verifies" the election in however many months? Important to know.
@Balasar honestly this looks less clear cut then I thought. Peter's current strategy of waiting for "validated results" from Elections Canada seems fair. As would waiting for the governor general. Probably best to not put too much weight on this bullet point, sorry.
@MaybeNotDepends I randomly checked back on this market and, I have no idea who you are lmao. I checked my comment history and I hadn't posted anything for 3 days prior to you writing this comment. Did you deliberate on this decision over those days? I also skimmed my comment history and don't see any insults in the weeks preceding your comment. I'm really not sure what you're referring to, and if you fail to elaborate I will report your comment for abuse
@MaybeNotDepends Oh wait, now I remember you. You're the abusive individual who claimed 90% of Canadians were racist, and lost an argument against me and claimed I was angry when you couldn't muster an argument:
