Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if any movie with a worldwide theatrical release date in 2026 earns more than $2,923,710,708 in total worldwide box office gross. Resolution will be determined using data from Box Office Mojo, which tracks cumulative worldwide box office totals including all theatrical releases and re-releases. The threshold is based on Avatar's estimated $2.92 billion worldwide gross, which remains the highest-grossing movie of all time.

Background

Avatar (2009) earned an estimated $2.92 billion at the box office worldwide, putting it ahead of "Avengers: Endgame" at $2.8 billion. Avatar's 2022 sequel "Avatar: The Way of Water" brought audiences back to Pandora for a global box office gross of $2.32 billion, demonstrating that even the most successful sequels have struggled to approach the original's record. No film released in the past 16 years has surpassed Avatar's total.

Considerations

Reaching $2.92 billion requires extraordinary global appeal and sustained theatrical performance. Only five films in history have exceeded $2 billion worldwide, and the threshold has become increasingly difficult to achieve despite rising ticket prices. A 2026 release would need to dominate both domestic and international markets for an extended period to reach this benchmark.

This description was generated by AI.