Will we find out in 2023 about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages?
32
590Ṁ2676resolved Jan 10
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Could've been using it in 2022 or 2021 also for example, but the discovery of specifically using LLMs for specifically generating propaganda messages happens in 2023.
Gary marcus seems to think so
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ91 | |
2 | Ṁ89 | |
3 | Ṁ84 | |
4 | Ṁ74 | |
5 | Ṁ33 |
People are also trading
Related questions
When will we find out about a nation state using LLMs for generating propaganda messages, what quarter of what year?
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2025?
1% chance
Will either of Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2024 elections?
23% chance
Will flagship LLMs begin integrating advertisements into their responses before 2026?
34% chance
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?
50% chance
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
82% chance
In 2030, will LLMs be sending messages to coordinate with one another, whether we can decode them or not?
62% chance
Will researchers discover unintended presence or utilization of steganography in LLM outputs by 2026? [Gwern's Idea]
56% chance
Will either Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2028 US elections?
61% chance
Will there be a state-of-the-art LLM that is NOT based on next raw token prediction before 2029?
50% chance