What's my IQ? [Ṁ500 subsidy]
Basic
39
Ṁ3869
2050
126
expected

If I ever get a professional IQ test, this market will resolve to that result.

(There's quite a bit of variance in IQ tests, can be as much as 20 points or more sometimes. But I'm not gonna take a bunch of tests and use the average, that's way too much work, and risks selective stopping. So this resolves to the first test result I get, even if it seems likely to be an over or under estimate.)

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No risk of selective stopping if you just decide on a number beforehand.

Classic Levi would be bombing the test and getting like 80iq just to manipulate this market.

And if you try to bet it down, he'll actually try and get a 130+.

Wow Acc is pretty confident this is lower.

They are probably right.

Im tempted to take a test given how low this is.

@levifinkelstein the only person who will be disappointed is you

@PseudonymousAlt
Why do you think so?

Taking an outside view I would imagine my IQ should be quite high. All the activities I spend a lot of time on are highly correlated with high IQ.

What would be your best (non-joke) guess as to what score I would get if I did an offical/professional test?

@levifinkelstein maybe just take the test. It's only a few hours

predicts LOWER
predicts LOWER

@levifinkelstein Cheating is correlated with low IQ, not high IQ.

Answer = 99 - 101

@TheWiggleManRetired -2 is a very sad prediction. :-(

predicts HIGHER

@KongoLandwalker this is the "will I eat poop" guy after all

My guess from just internet interactions and nothing more would be 120-130 but I'm not going to bet because of your track record in resolving markets

@ShadowyZephyr What if I post official result document with PII removed but I write onto it various stuff like my manifold user name, time/date, lateast btc hash, etc.?

predicts LOWER

@ShadowyZephyr The track record is evidence for lower.

@DavidBolin meh, not really

predicts LOWER

@ShadowyZephyr It is.

It is evidence of low self-control, which is evidence of low intelligence, other things being equal.

wow, I'm so lucky to have such a high IQ 😊

My guess is around 140. Do you know?

@BTE No, as I wrote in the description (copy pasted from Isaac's market) I will resolve it if I ever get an official test. What makes you say 140 though? That's very high, I'm flattered.

predicts HIGHER

Just a guess based on nothing but you comments and markets. My guesses might be skewed higher by knowing my wife’s IQ which is 150 and a general belief that only really smart people are good at predicting the future, and you seem pretty good at it. I would bet Manifold has one of the highest average IQs of any popular web app.

predicts HIGHER

@levifinkelstein I should start reading the description before commenting!

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