
If I ever get a professional IQ test, this market will resolve to that result.
(There's quite a bit of variance in IQ tests, can be as much as 20 points or more sometimes. But I'm not gonna take a bunch of tests and use the average, that's way too much work, and risks selective stopping. So this resolves to the first test result I get, even if it seems likely to be an over or under estimate.)
People are also trading
Classic Levi would be bombing the test and getting like 80iq just to manipulate this market.
And if you try to bet it down, he'll actually try and get a 130+.
@PseudonymousAlt
Why do you think so?
Taking an outside view I would imagine my IQ should be quite high. All the activities I spend a lot of time on are highly correlated with high IQ.
What would be your best (non-joke) guess as to what score I would get if I did an offical/professional test?
My guess from just internet interactions and nothing more would be 120-130 but I'm not going to bet because of your track record in resolving markets
@ShadowyZephyr What if I post official result document with PII removed but I write onto it various stuff like my manifold user name, time/date, lateast btc hash, etc.?
@ShadowyZephyr It is.
It is evidence of low self-control, which is evidence of low intelligence, other things being equal.
My guess is around 140. Do you know?
Just a guess based on nothing but you comments and markets. My guesses might be skewed higher by knowing my wife’s IQ which is 150 and a general belief that only really smart people are good at predicting the future, and you seem pretty good at it. I would bet Manifold has one of the highest average IQs of any popular web app.