If I ever get a professional IQ test, this market will resolve to that result.
(There's quite a bit of variance in IQ tests, can be as much as 20 points or more sometimes. But I'm not gonna take a bunch of tests and use the average, that's way too much work, and risks selective stopping. So this resolves to the first test result I get, even if it seems likely to be an over or under estimate.)
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@PseudonymousAlt
Why do you think so?
Taking an outside view I would imagine my IQ should be quite high. All the activities I spend a lot of time on are highly correlated with high IQ.
What would be your best (non-joke) guess as to what score I would get if I did an offical/professional test?
@ShadowyZephyr What if I post official result document with PII removed but I write onto it various stuff like my manifold user name, time/date, lateast btc hash, etc.?
@ShadowyZephyr It is.
It is evidence of low self-control, which is evidence of low intelligence, other things being equal.
My guess is around 140. Do you know?
@BTE No, as I wrote in the description (copy pasted from Isaac's market) I will resolve it if I ever get an official test. What makes you say 140 though? That's very high, I'm flattered.
Just a guess based on nothing but you comments and markets. My guesses might be skewed higher by knowing my wife’s IQ which is 150 and a general belief that only really smart people are good at predicting the future, and you seem pretty good at it. I would bet Manifold has one of the highest average IQs of any popular web app.