Including the 2 already seized, how many oil tankers destined for or leaving Venezuela will the US seize by Jan 31st 2026?
Update 2025-12-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the total number of tankers seized is 2 (the number already seized at market creation), all options will resolve No.
Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on what counts as "seized":
Oil tankers must be underway when seized to count toward the total
Tankers merely blockaded from leaving will not count
Tankers seized before leaving port that are later moved by the US to a US port will count
The market is about the US taking control over Venezuelan tankers and rerouting them
People are also trading
the one that escaped got finally seized https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-seizing-venezuela-linked-oil-tanker-after-weeks-long-pursuit-2026-01-07/
To be clear, oil tankers must be underway when they are seized to count toward the total. Any oil tankers that are merely blockaded from leaving will not count. Any oil tankers that would not ordinarily move to the US, which are later moved by the US to a US port would however count, even if they were seized before leaving port.
The spirit of the question is about the US taking control over Venezuelan tankers and rerouting them as they see fit.
Usa finally got the one that ran away
@leaflitter hi Leaf I was mistaken a previous source said it was seized but I just checked CNN and they are still chasing https://edition.cnn.com/2025/12/26/politics/venezuelan-tanker-pursuit-forcible-boarding
