Venezuelan oil tankers seized by the US by Jan 31st
12
175Ṁ959
Jan 31
5.21 oil tankers
expected
96%
Above 4
47%
Above 5
28%
Above 6

Including the 2 already seized, how many oil tankers destined for or leaving Venezuela will the US seize by Jan 31st 2026?

  • Update 2025-12-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the total number of tankers seized is 2 (the number already seized at market creation), all options will resolve No.

  • Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on what counts as "seized":

    • Oil tankers must be underway when seized to count toward the total

    • Tankers merely blockaded from leaving will not count

    • Tankers seized before leaving port that are later moved by the US to a US port will count

    • The market is about the US taking control over Venezuelan tankers and rerouting them

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bought Ṁ100 YES

Third tanker tried to flee, was on the run, and changed its flag to Russian while running away.

However, it was seized near the Iceland by the USA.

To be clear, oil tankers must be underway when they are seized to count toward the total. Any oil tankers that are merely blockaded from leaving will not count. Any oil tankers that would not ordinarily move to the US, which are later moved by the US to a US port would however count, even if they were seized before leaving port.

The spirit of the question is about the US taking control over Venezuelan tankers and rerouting them as they see fit.

too many

Usa finally got the one that ran away

@Gugra i cannot find reference to this in media, do you have a source?

@leaflitter hi Leaf I was mistaken a previous source said it was seized but I just checked CNN and they are still chasing https://edition.cnn.com/2025/12/26/politics/venezuelan-tanker-pursuit-forcible-boarding

@Gugra they gave up

if total is 2

@ChangAnthony then all options resolve No

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