Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?
41
368
2.3K
2033
0.6%
2025
1.9%
2026
7%
2027
20%
2028
57%
2029
57%
2030
71%
2031
78%
2032
82%
2033
86%
2034

Once a human lands on the moon in year X, all the years after the year X will resolve to YES as well.

The "human" landing on the "moon" must be a safe landing in the sense that the human lands on the moon alive. That's all that matters.

i will resolve the 2024 option soon after the creation of the market, as it was only to create continuity.

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@creator will the year of the landing itself resolve YES or NO?

"will resolve to YES as well" sounds like it will resolve YES; but the fact that 2024 is already resolved NO and the market closes at the end of 2033, with 2034 being the last option, seems to indicate that it will resolve NO.

@dp9000 "by" means before usually in such a context. If something happens by 2023, it happened in 2022 or before - that's the usage in this market at least

@lastuserhere I understood it because you resolved 2024 as No, but it would be easier to parse if you changed the title to "Before" instead of By. It would be non-ambiguous that way.

Didn't a human land on the moon in 1969?

@Snarflak Yes, this market is for now and onwards

bought Ṁ50 of 2025 NO

.

bought Ṁ2 of 2033 YES

There are now like five versions of this market 😭 As well as a billion individual "by x year" markets

@calderknight This. 😑

bought Ṁ3,000 of 2024 NO

Which country would the next person to land on the moon be from?