Will a human land on any celestial body other than Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2040? | Manifold

Will a human land on any celestial body other than Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2040?

Basic

18

Ṁ1.1k

2040

29%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Get Ṁ600 play money

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What are the candidates here? Martian moons?

predicts YES

@GustavoMafra Also moons of gas giants, asteroids, dwarf planets and Mercury

Is it okay if I manipulate this market by blasting my enemies into the sun?

@MartinRandall That's fine, though perhaps inadvisable.

I'm gonna be disappointed if we don't throw a tennis ball to escape velocity by hand from Phobos before 2040

My similar market for 2050:
https://manifold.markets/DAL59/will-humans-land-on-a-planet-dwarf

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Will a human land on any planetary body that is not the Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2075?

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Will a country other than the United States land a human on the moon before the end of 2031?

Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?

Will humans land on a planet, dwarf planet, or moon large enough to be spheroid in shape OTHER than the Moon or Mars by the end of 2050?

Will any spacecraft land or otherwise come to be on at least 3 astronomical bodies before 2040?

Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?

Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?

Related questions

Will a human land on any planetary body that is not the Earth, the Moon, or Mars before 2075?

Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?

Will a human land on the moon by 2028?

Will humans land on a planet, dwarf planet, or moon large enough to be spheroid in shape OTHER than the Moon or Mars by the end of 2050?

Will a human land on the moon before 2028?

Will any spacecraft land or otherwise come to be on at least 3 astronomical bodies before 2040?

Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?

Will a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?

Will a country other than the United States land a human on the moon before the end of 2031?

Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?