Resolves YES if Luigi Mangione (accused of the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson [0]) formally waives the extradition procedure from Pennsylvania to New York State.
Resolves NO otherwise, e.g., he fights extradition via a writ; dies without having waived extradition; does not waive and is extradited per a governor's requisition/warrant.
Market will extend as needed.
[0]: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/09/nyregion/who-is-luigi-mangione.html
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Per the New York Times:
A suspect charged with murder in New York in the assassination of the chief executive of UnitedHealthcare in Midtown Manhattan will fight extradition to New York to face murder charges, potentially keeping him in custody in Pennsylvania for weeks.
“He is contesting it,” said his lawyer, Thomas Dickey.
In theory, he could still choose to waive but it seems substantially less likely to me.