When one of these Youtube personalities publicly comes around and seriously identifies as a Christian before 2025, that option will resolve YES. All those who remain non-Christian on Jan 1. 2025 resolve NO.
Comment if there are other atheist Youtubers you want to see on this list!
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I think Alex was the only remotely plausible candidate here. I've created next year's market just for him, and see also Bayesian's market about the following year.
Before 2026: https://manifold.markets/kenakofer/will-alex-oconnor-profess-christian
Before 2027: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-alex-oconnor-convert-to-christ
The only youtube atheists who become Christians are the conservative ones (the ones who pivoted to the gamergate/anti-SJW stuff). Some of them converted to Christianity because they agreed with the Christian right's talking points about religion being necessary for civilization (or just to appeal to a conservative audience, depending on how cynical you are about it). None of these people are part of that crowd - most of them are newer channels, and they're all socially liberal. So I don't see any of them having any reason to convert.
@PlasmaBallin Thanks for that perspective! Is there a prominent atheist or two you'd like to see added from those different camps?
@kenakofer I think there are very few YT atheists from that group that are still prominent as YT atheists. Most of them have either left YouTube or make different content now.