Will Elon Musk be a Christian before 2029?
33
1kṀ7027
2028
19%
chance

Elon Musk has described himself as a 'cultural Christian' and expressed appreciation for Christian principles. This market resolves YES if Musk makes an explicit, unambiguous statement identifying as a Christian (not just 'cultural Christian') on any public platform (Twitter, interviews, etc.) before 31st December, 2028. The statement must be unambiguous (e.g., "I am a Christian" or expressing belief in core Christian doctrines like Jesus's divinity or resurrection)

Resolution source: Musk's X/Twitter account (@elonmusk) or verified news coverage of direct quotes.

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Is saying you're a Christian sufficient to be one? That seems strongly at odds with a lot of the teachings of the New Testament.

@WilliamGunn As a Christian myself, I agree. But is there another bright-line rule that would work here?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 I'm personally happy with your subjective assessment. Objective criteria are great when you can get them, but this feels like a fundamentally subjective question (and I have a strong prior that he says things for utilitarian purposes).

@WilliamGunn Me? I'm not the market creator, so you'll have to ask @JoshuaTan.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Oh, right, lol. Well I would still prefer your judgment!

opened a Ṁ250 NO at 10% order

The only people who convert to religion as adults are convicts, the mentally unstable, and passengers in a plane with one engine out.

@DanHomerick Elon does seem to match your second example perfectly, so...

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