If Alex O'Connor (host of the podcast Within Reason) publicly comes around and seriously identifies as a Christian before 2026, this will resolve YES. Otherwise resolves NO on Jan 1. 2026.
Update 2024-31-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Self-identification: If Alex O'Connor clearly identifies himself as Christian, the resolution will be based on this self-identification.
Ambiguous statements: If his statements are ambiguous, the resolution will consider claims such as "religiously follows Jesus", which are typically associated with Gnostic beliefs.
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Next year's continuation on Alex O'Connor's conversion: https://manifold.markets/kenakofer/will-alex-oconnor-profess-christian-QSARug8psQ
@DavidOman interesting idea. If his statements describing himself are clearly choosing the Christian label, we'll resolve on those self identifications. If his statements are ambiguous, then at the end of the year we'll resolve on something like "claims to religiously follows Jesus", which gnostics IIUC do.