Will Mira's main GPT-4 Sudoku market resolve YES?
119
1.2kṀ150kresolved Jan 17
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Note that it can also resolve 50%, in which case this market resolves NO.
See also: /JonathanRay/will-miras-gpt4-sudoku-market-resol
Since the original market should never resolve N/A, only YES/NO/50%, the trio should be fully arbitrageable.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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predictedYES
@Seeker The number of chat responses from GPT-4 needed to solve the puzzle (or to make a mistake).
@Mira im slightly impressed then. It failed after 4 in January 3 but went to 27 turns on January 2 without mistake. I'd probably fail if I didnt know how to play sudoku before 20 turns