Will Mira's main GPT-4 Sudoku market resolve YES?
#GPT-4 Sudoku Challenge (2023)#New Year's Resolutions 2024
119
2.7K
Ṁ1.2K
resolved Jan 17
Resolved
NO

Note that it can also resolve 50%, in which case this market resolves NO.

See also: /JonathanRay/will-miras-gpt4-sudoku-market-resol

Since the original market should never resolve N/A, only YES/NO/50%, the trio should be fully arbitrageable.

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2 years of hype and the best AI can't solve easy sudoku puzzles for all that money put into it

bought Ṁ1 YES at 13%
predicted YES

@Seeker Well, some

bought Ṁ1 of YES

@EmilyThomas what is the "turns" column?

predicted YES

@Seeker The number of chat responses from GPT-4 needed to solve the puzzle (or to make a mistake).

predicted YES

@Mira im slightly impressed then. It failed after 4 in January 3 but went to 27 turns on January 2 without mistake. I'd probably fail if I didnt know how to play sudoku before 20 turns

bought Ṁ17 of NO

thank you

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