
Conditional on @Mira getting a job* at OpenAI, Will OpenAI claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
12
Ṁ230Ṁ294resolved Jan 17
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
More precisely, this is conditional on the following market resolving YES (and Mira accepting the job):
If the above market resolves NO or N/A, this market will resolve N/A. I will not bet in this market.
See also /firstuserhere/will-openai-hint-at-or-claim-to-hav
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@EliLifland Not necessarily. I think it's very likely it will (especially after recent clarifications on that market), but I did intentionally leave out the "hints at" part when I made this one.
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