Conditional on @Mira getting a job* at OpenAI, Will OpenAI claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
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resolved Jan 17
Resolved
N/A

More precisely, this is conditional on the following market resolving YES (and Mira accepting the job):

If the above market resolves NO or N/A, this market will resolve N/A. I will not bet in this market.

See also /firstuserhere/will-openai-hint-at-or-claim-to-hav

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predicted NO

To clarify, if mira gets a job at OpenAi, does this resolve the exact same as firstuserhere’s linked market?

@EliLifland Not necessarily. I think it's very likely it will (especially after recent clarifications on that market), but I did intentionally leave out the "hints at" part when I made this one.

Realized conditioning on just Mira's market would contradict the title, since that market is about a job offer, not signing a contract. Edited the description to require she accepts the job.

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