Its happened

https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#493ae8cc3d78

@jonsimon

1

Elon Musk

$216.9 B

▶ $5.4 B | 2.57%

51

Tesla, SpaceX

United States

2

Bernard Arnault & family

$215.1 B

@jonsimon

@RobertCousineau Resolved

Why is this so high? Seems like just based on fluctuations of even pretty favorable random walk it's way too high, is there something specific that the market knows about?

@na_pewno nevermind, I misread the question

1 in 100 whatever Forbes schedule for updating doesn’t mean this updates in time if he dips down again? I’ll take that

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-27/elon-musk-is-world-s-richest-person-again-after-100-tesla-stock-surge

Not Forbes, but it has happened

Very plausible, he's in second place, there's about a 10% difference between him and first place, there's most of a year for those values to fluctuate, and he only needs to be briefly in first at any point, not in first place at the end.

What are the exact resolution criteria? Does this question resolve to YES if he holds that title at any point before the end of the decade, or if he holds that title on December 31, 2029? Or something else?

@howtodowtle at any point before the resolution date. Updated to clarify