Resolves YES once Elon Musk is listed by Forbes or a similar sources as a trillionaire.
Resolves NO once someone else is listed by Forbes or a similar sources as a trillionaire, or Elon Musk experiences information-theoretic death.
(Denoted in nominal USD.)
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@Mochi As you know this has been revised back below $1trillion.
A quirk: Suppose IPO is priced at $135 today after close and Forbes shows $1trillion then but the price opens tomorrow lower such that Musk's wealth falls below $1trillion. Was the $135 a real price and his wealth was over $1trillion today after IPO announcement later today? If $75B changed hands at that price that seems pretty real, doesn't it?.
@IsaacKing
If it is considered real, should we be regarding the probability of this question to be near 100% true?
