Will Chinese naval units outclass American naval units in direct combat?

Ṁ190Ṁ153

2050

33%

chance

ALL

If there is a direct military conflict between China and the US involving their respective navies, will the general consensus be that a given Chinese ship outclasses its equivalent American ship in combat utility?

Resolves according to general consensus, where best-effort will be made to avoid propagandistic sources that will inevitably proliferate in the case of such a conflict. This may require waiting for months or years after the battle in question concludes.

Resolves N/A if no such conflict occurs by market end.

Market context

Wars

United States

China

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If a given Chinese ship outclasses an "equivalent" American ship, does it not follow the ships are not equivalent ?

predictedYES

@Odoacre There are certain standard classes of ships like aircraft carriers. That's what I mean by "equivalent".

predictedNO

you also need to account for tonnage. Destroyers or frigates can be wildly different in size

@JoshuaWilkes or carriers for that matter

Inspiration for this market were various charts showing that American warfighting capability outclasses China's, but these assume that American units are pound-for-pound as valuable as Chinese units