Also:

My current p(doom) is not at its historical maximum; eg it moved slightly downward over the course of Bing based on public updates, how early particular alignment failures were able to be manifested, the existence of a tiny community of redteam prompt engineers who gain status and in some cases gainful employment by breaking alignment attempts instead of being publicly optimistic about them, etcetera.

@EliezerYudkowsky Thanks for the quick and easy resolution, in retrospect perhaps I should’ve tried to confirm your p(doom) was at its historic peak before creating the market

not being at a minimum for p(doom) would mean that he is less optimistic, not more, right?

@DanStoyell you're totally right - thanks for pointing out my mistake :)