Will Eliezer Yudkowsky make any public statement in 2023 that his current p(doom) is not at its historical maximum?
10
210Ṁ2169resolved Feb 27
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In other words, will Eliezer say that he is more optimistic than he used to be, even by some tiny amount?
Will obviously have to resolve somewhat at my discretion. Any kind of verifiable, public statement will do, including Tweets, LessWrong comments etc. Things he allegedly said to people in private will not count.
Feb 27, 6:27pm: Will Eliezer Yudkowsky make any public statement in 2023 that his current p(doom) is not at its historical minimum? → Will Eliezer Yudkowsky make any public statement in 2023 that his current p(doom) is not at its historical maximum?
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