When will King Charles III die?
➕
Plus
60
Ṁ6704
2035
6%
2024
19%
2025
19%
2026
23%
2027
8%
2028
6%
2029
19%
2030 and later

Decided to make the market after today's news

BBC News - King Charles III diagnosed with cancer, Buckingham Palace says

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-68208157

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Ṁ1,000
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No way he survives until 2030 he was already half dead when he took charge

I asked gpt-4 what is likely a cancer that is found during the treatment of an enlarged prostate but not prostate cancer. It said bladder cancer.

@SteveMahoney I asked it about the survival rates and got:

"

The survival rate for bladder cancer in the United Kingdom varies based on the stage of the disease.

Here are the approximate 5-year survival rates for different stages of bladder cancer in England:

Stage 1: 80%

Stage 2: 45%

Stage 3: 40%

Stage 4: 10%

Overall, for people diagnosed with bladder cancer in England:

75% survive >1y

50% survive >5y

45% survive >10y

"

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