Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump dies before big Charles. Conversely, it will resolve to "No" if King Charles III passes away before Donald Trump. The determination will be based on official announcements from the respective governments or authoritative news sources confirming the dates of death for both individuals.

Background

• King Charles III: Born on November 14, 1948, King Charles III is currently 76 years old. In February 2024, he was diagnosed with an unspecified form of cancer following treatment for an enlarged prostate. Despite ongoing treatment, he has resumed public duties, indicating a positive response to therapy. (reuters.com)

• Donald Trump: Born on June 14, 1946, Donald Trump is currently 78 years old. As of April 2025, a comprehensive physical examination reported him to be in excellent health, with well-controlled cholesterol levels and no significant medical issues. (reuters.com)

Considerations

• Health Factors: King Charles III's cancer diagnosis and treatment may impact his longevity, though recent reports suggest positive progress. Donald Trump's recent health assessments indicate robust health, but factors such as age and lifestyle could influence future health outcomes.

• Age: Both individuals are in their late 70s, an age range where health risks generally increase.

• Public Engagements: Both King Charles III and Donald Trump maintain active public schedules, which can be indicative of their current health status but may also pose stress-related health risks.