What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? 🤴🇬🇧👑
74
2.7kṀ71662026
99%
2025 [resolves on Jan 1st]
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Elon Musk has another child
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The war in Ukraine comes to an end
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GTA 6 release
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A Category 5 hurricane hits the US
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The launch of GPT-5
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The death of Joe Biden
58%
Weak AGI achieved, as defined by the resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic
52%
Peak Oil Demand
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The Enhanced Games opening ceremony
43%
Man’s return to the moon
42%
EV sales in the USA overtake ICE
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Will Smith attends the Oscars
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A "superintelligent oracle" achieved, as defined by the resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic
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AGI is achieved as judged by Manifold
20%
Bitcoin falls to $30k
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Female US President
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Donald Trump goes to jail
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Prince William and Kate divorce
Resolved
YESThe death of Jimmy Carter
King Charles III is the current king of England and a bunch of other land too. What will occur while he’s reigning monarch?
Once an answer has occurred, it will Resolve YES. When Charles is no longer King, everything will Resolve NO.
Feel free to add whatever, I may ask clarifying questions. Please try to make the guesses a few months out, at least. I may N/A “tomorrow”.
Market will extend until Charles is no longer reigning monarch, through whatever means death, abdication, dissolution of the throne…etc.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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