Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What will happen before King Charles III dies? [Add Answers!]
87%
The United Kingdom holds a general election
73%
Joe Biden dies
50%
A Manifold market with more than 5 million mana in volume gets misresolved
41%
@strutheo starts making fewer markets (4 or fewer markets created in any 3-month period)
21%
King Charles III abdicates the throne
17%
New pope after Leo XIV
12%
A mod resolves any option on this market
7%
@Tumbles has a positive balance for at least 90% of any two-week period
6%
A manned mission lands on Mars
Resolved
YES
Tumbles is late to pay back a loan
Resolved
YES
Someone becomes a trillionaire

Between market creation and the death of King Charles III being credibly reported.

Close date is provisional.

Elaborate in comments if needed.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@Robincvgr "Someone becomes a trillionaire" can resolve YES. Both Forbes and Bloomberg trackers have him at >$1 Trillion, and numerous sources have reported him as the world's first trillionaire

Elon Musk Is The World’s First Trillionaire
Elon Musk Hits $1 Trillion Net Worth as SpaceX IPO Breaks Records - Bloomberg
SpaceX IPO makes Elon Musk the world's first trillionaire | Reuters
SpaceX soars in debut and makes Musk the first trillionaire | AP News

bought Ṁ10 YES

I fucking hate myself, the word "mod" didn't register in my brain until after I already overbought the option

opened a Ṁ1,500 NO at 60% order