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The Brazilian minister of defence has confirmed publicly that Brazilian territory will not be permitted for use by the Venezualians to invade. The only other realistic route is by sea.

https://g1.globo.com/politica/blog/gerson-camarotti/post/2023/12/06/venezuela-x-guiana-apos-referendo-de-maduro-mucio-diz-que-territorio-brasileiro-nao-sera-usado-por-tropas-estrangeiras.ghtml

If Venezuela invades Guyana would this trigger a YES resolution or are you concerned with constitutional process?

@JoshuaWilkes
An invasion would result in a YES resolution for this market.
I have changed the market title to better reflect my intentions. Please let me know if there are any ambiguities I may have missed.

@jks there's now (imo) a huge incongruity between the title and your comment here saying an invasion would trigger a YES resolution.

Which is, basically: what if it's a failed invasion? What if Venezuelan forces cross the border, but never reach any inhabited areas and suffer military calamity wherever they meet opposition?

Clearly that would be an invasion, but I don't think a lot of people would be too happy if you said Venezuela had exercised defacto rule over that territory.

@JoshuaWilkes Pardon me for the lack of nuance. I did not mean to imply that any invasion will result in YES. Clearly there are scenarios where an invasion would not result in de facto rule. This market will resolve YES after de facto rule is established, regardless of the method (which is the distinction I thought you were asking about in your initial comment).

@jks okay that's great. I will just mentally describe this as a 'successful' invasion market.

@jks I think a reply I made got lost, but basically I approve of this change and it has much improved the market