Will a human land on Mars aboard Starship before high-speed rail is built between London and Manchester?
Basic
8
แน1972050
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@JoshuaWilkes Thank you for asking. My intent was to create a market in the spirit of Dr. Hague's tweet. After re-reading, it looks like I added more specific requirements than I intended, so now I realize the title should have been something like, "Will SpaceX take a human to Mars before" etc, without requirements on the name of the vehicle or landing on the surface.
I decided to make a new market with those requirements and leave this market with a strict interpretation.
New market:
/jks/will-spacex-take-a-human-to-mars-be
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX take a human to Mars before high-speed rail is built between London and Manchester?
67% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
60% chance
When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
Will a high-speed rail line between London and Manchester in the UK be operational before 2045?
31% chance
Which is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
47% chance
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
60% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
36% chance
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2050?
40% chance
Will a Starship land on Mars before the MSR samples are picked up?
66% chance