Will SpaceX take a human to Mars before high-speed rail is built between London and Manchester?
7
150Ṁ1662050
67%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
9% chance
Will a human land on Mars aboard Starship before high-speed rail is built between London and Manchester?
45% chance
Will a high-speed rail line between London and Manchester in the UK be operational before 2045?
36% chance
Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars?
87% chance
Will Starship land a human on Mars before California HSR transports a paying passenger to Bakersfield?
12% chance
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2030?
29% chance
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
6% chance
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
8% chance
Will Elon Musk take humanity to Mars before December 2034?
15% chance
Which is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?