Will Moonshot top the lmarena leaderboard by EOY?
8
1kṀ1500Dec 31
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Moonshots most recent model placed 6th on the leaderboard. Will Moonshot release a model which tops the leaderboard by the end of 2025?

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Llama 4 Behemoth top the lmarena?
6% chance
Will Lmarena be a relevant benchmark at EOY 2025?
79% chance
Which organization will top the lmarena leaderboard at the end of 2026?
Who will have the highest ranking model on web.lmarena.ai by EOY 2025?
Will a Kimi reasoning model top LMArena by EOY2025?
28% chance
What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? 🤖📊
Model at 1600 Elo on lmarena before 2026?
19% chance
Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?
23% chance
Will @hive_echo (echo.hive) become millionaire by EOY2028?
45% chance