Will xAI rank above OpenAI at EOY?
28
100Ṁ978Jan 1
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
based on https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
OpenAI has AI CEO by EOY 2026?
3% chance
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
8% chance
Will OpenAI still be considered one of the top players in AI by end of 2025
99% chance
will the publicly disclosed xAI market cap exceed OpenAI's market cap at end of year 2025?
9% chance
Will a company other than OpenAI, xAI, and Google top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
13% chance
OpenAI to become a for-profit by EOY? (read description)
7% chance
Will "OpenAI o1" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
8% chance
What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025?
Will OpenAI fold by EOY 2026?
9% chance
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
33% chance