Model at 1600 Elo on lmarena before 2026?
10
100Ṁ769Dec 31
3%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a model has achieved 1600 elo on lmarena (lmsys) before Janaury 1st 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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