Will a Kimi reasoning model top LMArena by EOY2025?
6
1kแน518Dec 31
30%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Moonshot AI released Kimi K2 as a base model, with a reasoning model anticipated reasonably soon. Resolves NA if no such model is released.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
What will be the best result an LLM based model gets in the 2025 IMO under fair conditions?
SOTA AI at EOY 2026 a reasoning model?
71% chance
Who will have the highest ranking model on web.lmarena.ai by EOY 2025?
Will Lmarena be a relevant benchmark at EOY 2025?
79% chance
Will Mistral's next model make it to the top 10 models in LLM Arena by the end of 2025?
45% chance
What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? ๐ค๐
Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?
60% chance
Model at 1600 Elo on lmarena before 2026?
19% chance
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
9% chance
Which organization will top the lmareana leaderboard at the end of 2026?