Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity?
66
Ṁ226Ṁ4.2k2030
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Ray Kurzweil live to be a centenarian?
12% chance
Will Ray Kurzweil die of natural causes?
85% chance
Will Ray Kurzweil get a blood transfusion from Bryan Johnson (@zero)?
12% chance
Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?
55% chance
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
48% chance
By the end of 2026, John Wentworth still believes that "The Plan" has a better than 50/50 chance of working before the singularity.
17% chance
Will there be a "Gentle Singularity"?
42% chance
By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?
33% chance
Will there be a software-only singularity? (ACX, AI 2027 #3)
36% chance
Will Elon musk live to see humanity become a Kardashev 3 civilization?
9% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Ray Kurzweil live to be a centenarian?
12% chance
Will Ray Kurzweil die of natural causes?
85% chance
Will Ray Kurzweil get a blood transfusion from Bryan Johnson (@zero)?
12% chance
Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?
55% chance
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
48% chance
By the end of 2026, John Wentworth still believes that "The Plan" has a better than 50/50 chance of working before the singularity.
17% chance
Will there be a "Gentle Singularity"?
42% chance
By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?
33% chance
Will there be a software-only singularity? (ACX, AI 2027 #3)
36% chance
Will Elon musk live to see humanity become a Kardashev 3 civilization?
9% chance