Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity? | Manifold

Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity?

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This market is light on the description of what signifies 'the singularity' as an event that has or has not occurred.

@MarkTerrano yep

@jim oh no

@constantine you made a big bet :D

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By the end of 2026, John Wentworth still believes that "The Plan" has a better than 50/50 chance of working before the singularity.

+5% 1d31% chance

Will Ray Kurzweil die of natural causes?

Will AI double the human lifespan within 10 years? (Before february 2035)

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Will Ray Kurzweil get a blood transfusion from Bryan Johnson (@zero)?

Singularity by 2030?

How many years until the singularity? (Since December 2022)

Will Noam Chomsky be alive to witness the development of AGI?

By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?

Related questions

By the end of 2026, John Wentworth still believes that "The Plan" has a better than 50/50 chance of working before the singularity.

Will Ray Kurzweil die of natural causes?

Will AI double the human lifespan within 10 years? (Before february 2035)

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Will Ray Kurzweil get a blood transfusion from Bryan Johnson (@zero)?

Singularity by 2030?

How many years until the singularity? (Since December 2022)

Will Noam Chomsky be alive to witness the development of AGI?

By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?

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