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MANIFOLD
Will the Technological Singularity occur by January 1st, 2050?
2
Ṁ1kṀ150
2049
40%
Yes
21%
No
21%
It happens, but we’re all gone lol
18%
Other

The Logic:
I am setting this to 2050 because "normality" is just a mask we wear until something truly abnormal happens. Most people are betting on 2030, but they are trapped in the hype of the present.

The "Win-Win" Hedge:
If the Singularity happens earlier than 2050, I lose this bet. But if the Singularity is here, money (and Mana) won't exist in a way we understand anyway. I’m betting my Mana to prove that by the time this resolves, the prize won't even matter. It’s a hedge against the apocalypse.

Resolution Criteria:
This market resolves as YES if, by Jan 1, 2050, there is a broad scientific or global consensus that an Artificial Intelligence has surpassed human capability across all economically valuable tasks (AGI) or if the global economic system has been fundamentally replaced by an AI-managed post-scarcity model.

If we are still using "normal" money and working "normal" jobs by 2050, this resolves as NO.

Market context
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bought Ṁ100 YES

“Singularity” doesn’t mean what it used to. 😞